Monday, May 29, 2006

World Cup Countdown - Group A

Germany - Costa Rica - Ecuador - Poland

Group A is a difficult group to call. You have a very average Germany, a dark horse in Poland, an unknown in Ecuador and a rank outsider in Costa Rica. On paper everyone will be expecting both the European teams to go through. However you need to look beyond the obvious to get the outcome of this group. Given the right start this is the outcome that will happen, given the wrong start and we could see the hosts knocked out at a very early stage.

There is no doubt that this will be one of the most average German sides to have appeared at a World Cup for a long long time. It is hard to believe that they will have the tools to get passed anything more than an average side, and in this group there are two sides that may be considered slightly above average. Opening their campaign against Costa Rica and if they don't get the three points that there nation expects it could all go down hill from there. And that is what makes this group hard to read.

If Germany win their opening game and Poland draw with Ecuador they will be playing teams that will need to get a win, and it will be a test of their game on the break to see if they can contain them and the push onto win. Of course if the Germans fail to win there opening game they will have to come out and play and that could lead to them being caught out on the break as well. So really what this group could boil down to is: How bad are Costa Rica?

If you read the papers and believe the bookies then they have very little chance of scoring let alone winning a game. So if I base my predictive scores on this then it simply comes down to who puts the most goals past them, and that is more likely to be the adventurous European sides so I predict the group will finish something like this

1. Poland
2. Germany
3. Ecuador
4. Costa Rica

1 Comments:

Anonymous Anonymous said...

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7:43 PM  

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